A truly tough day yesterday, I had two pitchers (Adam Wainwright, Trevor May) come out of games due to injury prematurely: there is no way to predict that. But that's not the most important lesson. My most expensive lineup of the night taught me something bigger.
Every match you play, you are pitting your mind and knowledge against one more opponent than is listed. The Contest might show you facing off vs. Lollipop237 or some other name, but there's another brain lurking in the background to which your gauntlet is thrown: the unnamed person or persons who value the players for the site you play on.
Basically every day, when you look at the Auction Price, you have to be thinking, where did they get the pricing wrong? Kind of like in a season long fantasy draft where you say, how does Yahoo rank Melky Cabrera at 157, he's easily a top 100 player or how can they have 5 2B's rated ahead of Dee Gordon, Cano or Altuve OK, but Kipnis? Dozier? Each day in Daily Fantasy you need to look for where the game's evaluators might have got it wrong. And take advantage of it, because it frees up extra money to get more and better players elsewhere.
I looked at him. I knew who he was. And at the last minute, I swapped him out for Matt Carpenter at 3B. For some strange reason, Draft Kings valued, the hot hitting DH, 3B, & OF Jimmy Paredes at the absolute minimum price of $2000. I passed on him because when I saw Andrew Susac was starting at Catcher for the Giants, the swap from Buster Posey to Susac freed up enough money that I could afford one more high cost, but really good player. I swapped out my Third Basemen. Where could I go wrong? The one place I didn't consider.
In my largest-slate night game lineup, where I put the most cash ($16.25) at risk, I didn't realize that every lineup I was going to play would be sporting the Paredes Anomaly. I took a bath on this card, winning only 2 of 10 contests, for a personal single card record loss of $9.05. Everyone else took advantage of the Draft Kings Valuators errors but me, and Paredes scored 29 points against me, Carpenter was solid with 10 pts, but if I kept Paredes a 9 buck loss would have been a $15+ gain (I knocked out 107.75 points with out him). To be completely honest, I probably would have taken Dustin Pedroia at second base, which would have cost me 2 pts there.
The moral of the story is: you should look for valuation mistakes in the system. They are often there, and when you find one, especially one that's had a shelf life of a couple of days, you should play it, and if you don't, you should know that others will be playing it against you.
Draft Kings admitted their mistake this morning by increasing Paredes' cost by a whopping 80%, going from $2,000 to $3,600. That's a big error.
Every match you play, you are pitting your mind and knowledge against one more opponent than is listed. The Contest might show you facing off vs. Lollipop237 or some other name, but there's another brain lurking in the background to which your gauntlet is thrown: the unnamed person or persons who value the players for the site you play on.
Basically every day, when you look at the Auction Price, you have to be thinking, where did they get the pricing wrong? Kind of like in a season long fantasy draft where you say, how does Yahoo rank Melky Cabrera at 157, he's easily a top 100 player or how can they have 5 2B's rated ahead of Dee Gordon, Cano or Altuve OK, but Kipnis? Dozier? Each day in Daily Fantasy you need to look for where the game's evaluators might have got it wrong. And take advantage of it, because it frees up extra money to get more and better players elsewhere.
I looked at him. I knew who he was. And at the last minute, I swapped him out for Matt Carpenter at 3B. For some strange reason, Draft Kings valued, the hot hitting DH, 3B, & OF Jimmy Paredes at the absolute minimum price of $2000. I passed on him because when I saw Andrew Susac was starting at Catcher for the Giants, the swap from Buster Posey to Susac freed up enough money that I could afford one more high cost, but really good player. I swapped out my Third Basemen. Where could I go wrong? The one place I didn't consider.
In my largest-slate night game lineup, where I put the most cash ($16.25) at risk, I didn't realize that every lineup I was going to play would be sporting the Paredes Anomaly. I took a bath on this card, winning only 2 of 10 contests, for a personal single card record loss of $9.05. Everyone else took advantage of the Draft Kings Valuators errors but me, and Paredes scored 29 points against me, Carpenter was solid with 10 pts, but if I kept Paredes a 9 buck loss would have been a $15+ gain (I knocked out 107.75 points with out him). To be completely honest, I probably would have taken Dustin Pedroia at second base, which would have cost me 2 pts there.
The moral of the story is: you should look for valuation mistakes in the system. They are often there, and when you find one, especially one that's had a shelf life of a couple of days, you should play it, and if you don't, you should know that others will be playing it against you.
Draft Kings admitted their mistake this morning by increasing Paredes' cost by a whopping 80%, going from $2,000 to $3,600. That's a big error.
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